![]() ![]() ![]() It's important to compare the full range of platforms available and keep in mind our picks may not always be the best fit for you. They're based on factors that include special features or offers and the commission we receive. There are also "promoted" picks on some pages. We've hand-picked the metrics we think are important for each category to help us find the best in 17 categories among our high-scoring partners. ![]() Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell).To choose the best investment app for each category, our experts analysed 83 different metrics for the investment platforms we've reviewed on our site. ![]() Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. Our research shows that stocks with this combination produce a positive surprise nearly 70% of the time, and a solid Zacks Rank actually increases the predictive power of Earnings ESP. However, the model's predictive power is significant for positive ESP readings only.Ī positive Earnings ESP is a strong predictor of an earnings beat, particularly when combined with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), 2 (Buy) or 3 (Hold). Thus, a positive or negative Earnings ESP reading theoretically indicates the likely deviation of the actual earnings from the consensus estimate. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. This insight is at the core of our proprietary surprise prediction model - the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction). Estimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. ![]()
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